話說天下事,合久必分,分久必合。
“It is said of all under Heaven: what is long united must divide, and what is long divided must unite.”
— Romance of the Three Kingdoms
History echoes through the present. The great cycles of unification and division are once again playing out before us — not through dynasties or empires, but through trade, politics, and the ebb and flow of global economies.
Today, we witness the deepening rift between the world’s two largest economies — the United States and China. What once was a relationship built on mutual dependency and trade, has now given way to suspicion, strategic decoupling, and national self-interest. Both nations are turning inward, restoring industries, securing supply chains, and limiting technological exchanges.
This trend is not just bilateral — it’s global. The world is shifting away from the golden era of globalisation, where borders blurred and markets intertwined. We are entering a new phase of deglobalisation — a fragmentation driven by geopolitics, nationalism, and the hard lessons of pandemic disruptions.
Last week’s Liberation Day events marked more than just a political milestone. They triggered a steep global market sell-off, wiping trillions off valuations in just days. But let us be clear: this was not an economically driven downturn. Instead, it was a reaction to rhetoric — specifically, the ambiguous and provocative statements made by President Trump. His words stirred uncertainty, not clarity, and markets hate uncertainty.
In times like these, it is easy to get swept up in the noise. Panic is contagious, and history shows us that the majority often reacts emotionally — buying high in euphoria, selling low in fear. But as your partners at Eu Capital, we are not here to follow the crowd. We are here to lead with calm conviction.
It’s easy — and tempting — to say, “I’ll sell now and buy back when prices are 30% lower.” But the truth is, nobody knows when or if that moment will come. Timing the market is not a strategy — it’s a gamble. By the time the dust settles and confidence returns, markets have often already rebounded. And more often than not, those waiting on the sidelines miss the recovery entirely.
Stay the course. Be patient. Trust the process.
We’ll leave you with a quiet thought, one we hold close to our philosophy, from Robert Frost:
Two roads diverged in a yellow wood,
And sorry I could not travel both
And be one traveler, long I stood
And looked down one as far as I could
To where it bent in the undergrowth;
Then took the other, as just as fair,
And having perhaps the better claim,
Because it was grassy and wanted wear;
Though as for that the passing there
Had worn them really about the same,
And both that morning equally lay
In leaves no step had trodden black.
Oh, I kept the first for another day!
Yet knowing how way leads on to way,
I doubted if I should ever come back.
I shall be telling this with a sigh
Somewhere ages and ages hence:
Two roads diverged in a wood, and I—
I took the one less traveled by,
And that has made all the difference.
Most investors follow the herd. They listen to the loudest voices and run with the fastest crowd — often ending up disappointed, disillusioned, and disoriented. But we don’t do what most people do. At Eu Capital, we choose the road less travelled — disciplined, deliberate, and independent. And in the long run, that has made all the difference.